US market Prediction - Intra day for july 14, trade 62

US market as per biz cues is expected to open in positive( to open after 90 mts)

 

However we take contrarian view based on Tarot  card reading that market may see  a peak formation in early part of the day and then  loose gains by /before afternoon. Limited indication of bounceback towards end  of day but not completely so.

 

hence Diamond index funds shorted at limit prices with profit to be deemed booked or protected after profit of $1 is made per share

Review: Indian stock market Prediction - Intra day for july 14-trade 61

Total loss per lot was Rs 10 including brokerage. ( unfortunately due to lack of  clear instructions purchases was triggered after correction in afternoon-which was not a significant correction). Total loss on 40 lots was Rs 20,000

 

 

 

 

Nifty up about 90 points. Nifty 4000 Put at premium of Rs 89 . Makret may dip sharply in afternoon( see rest of prediction below)  Buy 15 puts options at Rs 82 and another 25 at Rs 67. Exit if average loss exceeds Rs 17. Protect profits on gain of Rs 20 per lot

 

 

Prediction as posted in morning before market opened

 

Indian stock markets expecte to open  and operate ingreen .

 

However there are indications that in afternoon a significant correction may take place.

 

There are mixed (unclear?) indications of market bouncing back in closing hours.

 

1. But call options if market opens less than 50 points in green-preferably flattish or negative

 

2. Buy Put options of near money options after 80-100 mts of trade if premium is atl least Rs 40  lower  than  yesterday closing

Moderation to this trade may be given after observing initial trading pattern

 

 

Usual risk /responsibility disclaimer applies( no weekly prediction will be posted thsi week)

 

Re: Indian stock market Prediction - Intra day for july 14-trade 61

Nifty up about 90 points. Nifty 4000 Put at premium of Rs 89 . Makret may dip sharply in afternoon( see rest of prediction below)  Buy 15 puts options at Rs 82 and another 25 at Rs 67. Exit if average loss exceeds Rs 17. Protect profits on gain of Rs 20 per lot

 

 

Prediction as posted in morning before market opened

 

Indian stock markets expecte to open  and operate ingreen .

 

However there are indications that in afternoon a significant correction may take place.

 

There are mixed (unclear?) indications of market bouncing back in closing hours.

 

1. But call options if market opens less than 50 points in green-preferably flattish or negative

 

2. Buy Put options of near money options after 80-100 mts of trade if premium is atl least Rs 40  lower  than  yesterday closing

Moderation to this trade may be given after observing initial trading pattern

 

 

Usual risk /responsibility disclaimer applies( no weekly prediction will be posted thsi week)

 

Indian stock market Prediction - Intra day for july 14

Indian stock markets expecte to open  and operate ingreen .

 

However there are indications that in afternoon a significant correction may take place.

 

There are mixed (unclear?) indications of market bouncing back in closing hours.

 

1. But call options if market opens less than 50 points in green-preferably flattish or negative

 

2. Buy Put options of near money options after 80-100 mts of trade if premium is atl least Rs 40  lower  than  yesterday closing

Moderation to this trade may be given after observing initial trading pattern

 

 

Usual risk /responsibility disclaimer applies( no weekly prediction will be posted thsi week)

 

Review: US market Prediction - Intra day for july 13, trade 60

As can be seen the prediction turned out quite wrong with no afternoon correction.Unbooked loss of $75k on diamond index shares

 

Prediction as posted one hour before market opened:

 

 

US market to open in about 1 hour.

 

US market particularly dow 30 index could experience  correction in afternoon but may may bounce back. These predicted indications are stronger for  nasdaq index. ( there is lack of clarity of dow index overall performance in first 2 hours of trade).

 

Diamond index fund shorted in two lots at $ 81.98 and $ 82.20( total 60k shares) on Kaching trading site account

US market Prediction - Intra day for july 13, trade 60

US market to open in about 1 hour.

 

US market particularly dow 30 index could experience  correction in afternoon but may may bounce back. These predicted indications are stronger for  nasdaq index. ( there is lack of clarity of dow index overall performance in first 2 hours of trade).

 

Diamond index fund shorted in two lots at $ 81.98 and $ 82.20( total 60k shares) on Kaching trading site account

Book profits: Indian stock market Prediction - Intra day for july 13, trade 59

Nifty now down over 68 points.

 

35 puts purchased  at average price of Rs 141

 

Exit at current profit of Rs 20 per lot on all lots. Total profits between 30000- 34000 after brokerage

 

Prediction as posted at 1.25 pm

 

 

 

Nifty now down only about 48 poin, sensex down 152 points. Market may go down again in late  afternoon possibly sharply.

 

Buy 15 Nifty 4000 puts at Rs 145 ( days lowest so far is 148) and another 20 puts at Rs 137. exit if loss per lot is Rs 15.Protect profits after gain of Rs 20 with trailing stop loss of Rs 5.

 

Usual risk /responsibility disclaimer applies( no weekly prediction will be posted thsi week)

 

Indian stock market Prediction - Intra day for july 13, trade 59

Nifty now down only about 48 poin, sensex down 152 points. Market may go down again in late  afternoon possibly sharply.

 

Buy 15 Nifty 4000 puts at Rs 145 ( days lowest so far is 148) and another 20 puts at Rs 137. exit if loss per lot is Rs 15.Protect profits after gain of Rs 20 with trailing stop loss of Rs 5.

 

Usual risk /responsibility disclaimer applies( no weekly prediction will be posted thsi week)

 

Review: Indian stock market predictions for the week July 6-10,2009

As seen in the weekly nifty chart,

 

1 Shorting and holding till wednesday was hugely profitable (also read july month prediction)

 

2. Going long on thursday would have given profits on friday as on all calloptions highest premium on friday was higher than thursday closing value.( rise of 50 nifty points on friday is dwarfed by sharp afternoon fall)

 

3.However trend inspite of all weekly choppiness and volatility was downward and best strategy would have been to short and hold till end of week

 

 

Weekly Prediction as posted last week (below)
 

Weekly prediction july 6-10 Indian stock markets

 

There is no clear upward or downward trend for the week . However Market( after a positive start) may correct strongly and then resume upward movement amidst intra day and intra week choppiness and volatility.

 

Short index(nifty/sensex)  and hold till mid week

 

Take long position not earlier than thursday since on friday markets may bounceback( at least on intraday basis)

 

read monthly prediction for july below

 

usual risk /responsibility disclaimer applies

Review: US market Prediction - Intra day for july 8, trade 58

As seen in the intra day chart and prediction for the day, dow hit a low in afternoon (twice) and then bounced  back. A gain of $ 53,000 from shorting . However no trade was carried out for second half of the prediction

 

 

Prediction as posted in opening minutes today

US index dow 30 up 24 points. US market( dow 30 index)  may follow no consistent direction but hit a low point in afternoon. Could rise towards end of the day.

 

Diamond index fund(ETF)  1 lacs shares shorted at $ 81.76 and another lot at limit price of $ 82.60. Profits to be protected after gain of $0.80 with traling limit of $ 0.15

 

 

Trade 57: profit of $23,000. However total portfolio is now up only 5.3% as we couldnot exit carrying stocks of Diamond index fund in a falling market over last 3-4 days

Review: US market Prediction - Intra day for july 8, trade 58

As seen in chart market has corrected after hitting a high of +60 points, with gains of $53,000 on first 100k shares.

 

Prediction as posted in opening minutes today

US index dow 30 up 24 points. US market( dow 30 index)  may follow no consistent direction but hit a low point in afternoon. Could rise towards end of the day.

 

Diamond index fund(ETF)  1 lacs shares shorted at $ 81.76 and another lot at limit price of $ 82.60. Profits to be protected after gain of $0.80 with traling limit of $ 0.15

 

 

Trade 57: profit of $23,000. However total portfolio is now up only 5.3% as we couldnot exit carrying stocks of Diamond index fund in a falling market over last 3-4 days

US market Prediction - Intra day for july 8, trade 58

US index dow 30 up 24 points. US market( dow 30 index)  may follow no consistent direction but hit a low point in afternoon. Could rise towards end of the day.

 

Diamond index fund(ETF)  1 lacs shares shorted at $ 81.76 and another lot at limit price of $ 82.60. Profits to be protected after gain of $0.80 with traling limit of $ 0.15

 

 

Trade 57: profit of $23,000. However total portfolio is now up only 5.3% as we couldnot exit carrying stocks of Diamond index fund in a falling market over last 3-4 days

Indian stock market predictions for the week July 6-10,2009

Weekly prediction july 6-10 Indian stock markets

 

There is no clear upward or downward trend for the week . However Market( after a positive start) may correct strongly and then resume upward movement amidst intra day and intra week choppiness and volatility.

 

Short index(nifty/sensex)  and hold till mid week

 

Take long position not earlier than thursday since on friday markets may bounceback( at least on intraday basis)

 

read monthly prediction for july below

 

usual risk /responsibility disclaimer applies

Indian and US stock market predictions

Indian market Intra day predictions

 

From now on Intra day prediction for Indian stock markets will be given only on days where predictions are considered low risk.Absence of predictions however should not be deemed as indication of  high risk trading on such days. Profit on all trades unless otherwise mentioned must be protected when clear profit of Rs 5 is made .

 

weekly prediction for Indian market may be given this week. This wil help to corrorborate monthly prediction for the initial phase July.

 

US market intra day predictions: US market predictions will be given more frequently but high risk predictions will be tagged .

Indian stock market prediction for july 2009

Indian Stock market prediction for July 2009:

No single consistent trend is seen for this month. Market will tend to bounceback after every correction with at least one correction that may be much significant than others and may follow as early as mid-to end of next week.

There is greater indication of sharper correction in Nifty

Disclaimer: all predictions carry risk and risk is entirely borne by person using these predictions

Review: Indian Stock Markets -Prediction for June

See the monthly chart for June and prediction below. Key point is the sharp correction predicted in mid phase of mont large profits that could have been made by shorting as recommended. It is not clear if index made any monthly gains( starting value for june 1 is not same as closing value on may end)

 

June Month prediction as posted on June 2(below)

 

 

June month is again likely  to see gains in the indices.. However the market is likely to witness its worst phase in mid june ( approx 10-20). After which upward movement of markets may resume.

 

short index by mid of next week which should become profitable by /before 20th june(approx).

 

 

Review: US market Prediction - Intra day for july 1 trade 57

See the intra day chart and prediction below. Profit/loss deatils to be given later.

 

Prediction as Posted for July 1

 

 

Dow index up 68 points in eary trade.

 

US market may see day's low point in afternoon and then rise up. ( there is possibility of two corrections in a volatile market) but positive closing is likely

 

Both long and short position created-short positions if executed will be closed by afternoon.( in future we will restrict/ avoid stock related trades for day trade purposes on Kaching account and stick to Diamond ETF which is highly  correlated with Dow movement)

US market Prediction - Intra day for july 1 trade 57

Dow index up 68 points in eary trade.

 

US market may see day's low point in afternoon and then rise up. ( there is possibility of two corrections in a volatile market) but positive closing is likely

 

Both long and short position created-short positions if executed will be closed by afternoon.( in future we will restrict/ avoid stock related trades for day trade purposes on Kaching account and stick to Diamond ETF which is highly  correlated with Dow movement)

US market Prediction - Intra day for juny 1 trade 57

Dow index up 68 points in eary trade.

 

US market may see day's low point in afternoon and then rise up. ( there is possibility of two corrections in a volatile market) but positive closing is likely

 

Both long and short position created-short positions if executed will be closed by afternoon.( in future we will restrict/ avoid stock related trades for day trade purposes on Kaching account and stick to Diamond ETF which is highly  correlated with Dow movement)

Review: US market Prediction - Intra day for June 30

See the intra day chart and prediction( without trade)

 

Profit and loss on last two trades on Kaching account

 

Trade 56: pure day trading profit about $65-70,000

Trade 55: Loss (only day trading loss) about $ 3k

 

Total value of porftfolio is now $10.6million approximately( as a result of trades carried out but not posted on the blogs), almost  same as account which was abandoned

Todays market prediction is high risk and hence no trade will be carried out.

 

 

 

US market may open positive as biz news indicates. however at some point ( possibly end of day) dow index may give up all /any gains of the day .

 

details of profit /loss on last two trades wil be given later

US market Prediction - Intra day for June 30

Todays market prediction is high risk and hence no trade will be carried out.

 

 

 

US market may open positive as biz news indicates. however at some point ( possibly end of day) dow index may give up all /any gains of the day .

 

details of profit /loss on last two trades wil be given later

Profit/Loss: US market Prediction - Intra day for June 29-trade 56

 

See the intra day chart and the predictions. No significant correction took place in afternoon trade.Total loss on a/c on two puts was $20.

 

Profit and loss on Kacing trading will be given later

 

 

 

Dow index at 86 points. although in previous posting no trade was recommended, based on market performance so far, we short 2 dow ( buy dow puts) and another 2 dow puts at limit of dow +120

 

stop loss of +40 points .protect profits if gain per lot is +40 points with trailing  stop loss of 15 points.

 

On Kachin a/c short positions may be created
 

 

Prediction as posted today

 

 

US markets almost flat in a choppy trade. No trade recommended today( however see the prediction)

 

US market may hit a high/peak before noon but slump in late afternoon. a bounceback is likely towards end of day. Overall choppiness may mark the markets today

US market Prediction - Intra day for June 29-trade 56

Dow index at 86 points. although in previous posting no trade was recommended, based on market performance so far, we short 2 dow ( buy dow puts) and another 2 dow puts at limit of dow +120

 

stop loss of +40 points .protect profits if gain per lot is +40 points with trailing  stop loss of 15 points.

 

On Kachin a/c short positions may be created
 

 

Prediction as posted today

 

 

US markets almost flat in a choppy trade. No trade recommended today( however see the prediction)

 

US market may hit a high/peak before noon but slump in late afternoon. a bounceback is likely towards end of day. Overall choppiness may mark the markets today

US market Prediction - Intra day for June 29

US markets almost flat in a choppy trade. No trade recommended today( however see the prediction)

 

US market may hit a high/peak before noon but slump in late afternoon. a bounceback is likely towards end of day. Overall choppiness may mark the markets today

Review: US market Prediction - Intra day for June 26 trade no 55

See the intra day chart and the last few trading hours.

There was no major slump in late afetrnoon after a interim peak during mid day, which however did not affect our trading profit and loss.

Details of profit /loss will be given later

Prediction as predicted
 

US main index dow down about 47 points after 40 mts of trade.

 

Markets may recover by mid day but could fall in late afternoon temporarily.

 

On kachin site account

 

long position created in caterpillar shares ( 30k shares) and another 30k at limit price

 

Also long position in Alcoa shares created at limit price

 

Short position may be created in afternoon . ( past short positions not included)

Weather by Tarot

Cards indicate tha Monsoon could come to NCR and northern India but may be not consistent downpour (unlike last year).NCR could do better than rest of India in overall incidence of monsoon.

Relief from oppressive heat is indicated within next few days


Disclaimer: Predictions of weather are untested and hence cannot be relied upon without greater evidence

US market Prediction - Intra day for June 26 -trade no 55

US main index dow down about 47 points after 40 mts of trade.

Markets may recover by mid day but could fall in late afternoon temporarily.

On kachin site account

long position created in caterpillar shares ( 30k shares) and another 30k at limit price

Also long position in Alcoa shares created at limit price

Short position may be created in afternoon . ( past short positions not included)

Predictions

Predictions may not be posted for next 2-3 days

Review: US market Prediction - Intra day for June 22-trade no 54

Total day trading loss on Facebook integrated kaching account was $360,000 as none of the short orders were executed.( pure trading loss on standalone Kaching a/c was much less- however from now only former will be quoted-with initial capital of $10m)

 

In particular predicted mid day bounceback did not happen. See the high risk alluded to; on account off fuzzy card formations

 

due to fuzzy readings, todays' prediction is high risk.

But trades may be carried out if limit price orders place don Kachin Trading site is met

 

 

US market may first slump as biz news indicates but reach a peak formation ( not necessarily day's high point) by mid day to ealry afternoon then slump again temporarily.

 

Long positions on IBM created.

Boeing shares shorted

Long positon on Aloca created at low price limits

 

 

Note: As we are now integrating Kaching account with Facebook account, past trading and protfolio will not visible on Facebook accessed Kaching site

Predictions

No prediction is likely to be posted for next 2-3 days. (except possibly for US markets)

US market Prediction - Intra day for June 22-trade no 54

due to fuzzy readings, todays' prediction is high risk.

But trades may be carried out if limit price orders place don Kachin Trading site is met

 

 

US market may first slump as biz news indicates but reach a peak formation ( not necessarily day's high point) by mid day to ealry afternoon then slump again temporarily.

 

Long positions on IBM created.

Boeing shares shorted

Long positon on Aloca created at low price limits

 

 

Note: As we are now integrating Kaching account with Facebook account, past trading and protfolio will not visible on Facebook accessed Kaching site

Re: Profit & Loss: Indian market Prediction - Intra day for June 22-& 52 &53

see the intra day chart and two trades recommended. day's lowest point in particular occurred much after the mid day predicted value

 

 

Profit from Trae 52-  7k on ten lots

Loss from trade 53 - 20k(after commission) on twenty lots

 

Re: Profit booked: Indian market Prediction - Intra day for June 22-& new trade 53

Trade no 53 is now at a loss. Though market may bounceback in last hour to give limited losses, it is better to exit at  a loss ( current premium rs 46) as second part of prediction has not turned right

 

Premium on nifty 4300 reached highest Rs 96 and then fell. profit booked at rs 91. Profit after commission rs 7000.

 

Trade no 53

 

Nifty 4300 call premium now at Rs 70 since market has fallen again. and may rise again. Buy 10 call otpions at Rs 65 and ten next lots  at Rs 58. Protect profit as before
 

 

 

 

 

 

Lowest price of Rs 74 reached.hence 10 lots pruchased at rs 75. Premium now at rs 90. (ignore pruchase of other lots now)

 

One can take a risk and hold until premium rises to 95 and then use Rs 5 trailing stop loss as market may reach highest point in late afternoon

 

Indian market main indices now almost flat ( nifty 0-10).Market may hit day's low before mid day and the rise

 

Buy 25 lots of  4300 call options at ( 10 at Rs 75, 10 at 70 and 5 at 65) -days lowest so far is Rs 79

 

In the final hour volatility is possible

 

 

Profit booked: Indian market Prediction - Intra day for June 22-& new trade 53

Premium on nifty 4300 reached highest Rs 96 and then fell. profit booked at rs 91. Profit after commission rs 7000.

 

Trade no 53

 

Nifty 4300 call premium now at Rs 70 since market has fallen again. and may rise again. Buy 10 call otpions at Rs 65 and ten next lots  at Rs 58. Protect profit as before
 

 

 

 

 

 

Lowest price of Rs 74 reached.hence 10 lots pruchased at rs 75. Premium now at rs 90. (ignore pruchase of other lots now)

 

One can take a risk and hold until premium rises to 95 and then use Rs 5 trailing stop loss as market may reach highest point in late afternoon

 

Indian market main indices now almost flat ( nifty 0-10).Market may hit day's low before mid day and the rise

 

Buy 25 lots of  4300 call options at ( 10 at Rs 75, 10 at 70 and 5 at 65) -days lowest so far is Rs 79

 

In the final hour volatility is possible

 

 

Re: Indian market Prediction - Intra day for June 22- trade 52

Lowest price of Rs 74 reached.hence 10 lots pruchased at rs 75. Premium now at rs 90. (ignore pruchase of other lots now)

 

One can take a risk and hold until premium rises to 95 and then use Rs 5 trailing stop loss as market may reach highest point in late afternoon

 

Indian market main indices now almost flat ( nifty 0-10).Market may hit day's low before mid day and the rise

 

Buy 25 lots of  4300 call options at ( 10 at Rs 75, 10 at 70 and 5 at 65) -days lowest so far is Rs 79

 

In the final hour volatility is possible

 

 

Indian market Prediction - Intra day for June 22- trade 52

Indian market main indices now almost flat ( nifty 0-10).Market may hit day's low before mid day and the rise

 

Buy 25 lots of  4300 call options at ( 10 at Rs 75, 10 at 70 and 5 at 65) -days lowest so far is Rs 79

 

In the final hour volatility is possible

 

 

Review: US market Prediction - Intra day for June 19-trade no 51

see the intra day chart and the prediction given below.

Both correction as well as rise in teh lst hour did happen ( though  not to expected extent)

 

Pure day trading profits:

 

1. short postion on IBM gave $12,000

2. after disposing all past Aloca shares fresh long position in Aloca( at lower prices) gave $ 144,000( true profit should be less than of half of this as for some reason purchase of one lot of 400,000 shares was triggered even when Alcoa did not reach that price during the day)

3.Longs position in Ambak Financial group gave $ 600

 

Pure day trading Profit as per Kaching wesite is $ $157,000 though it shouldbe no more than $70,000

 

Total value of portfolio is up at 10.63 million ( partly due to increase in price in last two days whne no day trading took place-carrying over effect of stocks)

 

Prediction as posted onJune 19,2009

 

 

US index dow 30 up 54 points at 7.25 pm India time( US  ET time - nearly 10 am)

 

 

US market may see signicant correction -possibly twice once in next hour or so but more likely in afternoon. After that, in the last hour upward movement is likely.

 

On kaching trading site, a numbe of stocks have been shorted at limit prices and existing stock of aloca shares sold at limit prices.

 

Long positions at limit prices may be created upon correction.

 

Review: Indian market Prediction - Intra day for June 19- trade 50

See the intra day chart and the predictions ( also read the pre market prediction)

Total profit on shorting was Rs 4000 after brokerage. Clearly setting profit booking targets can mean difference between large profits as was possible today and no profit.

Interestingly although hinted about rise in index towards end of day, no trade was given- possibly the largest rise in the nifty for the day

Prediction as posted today(below)

Trade no 49- specific trade recommendation was not given.

Nifty now close to day's high , sensex at 185 near day 's high point.

Buy 10 nifty 4300 puts at current price of Rs 86 and another 20 at limit price of Rs 73 before 1 pm.

Market may correct temporarily again in afternoon. Protect profit by margin of Rs 15 withtraling stop loss of rs 5

Re: US market Prediction - Intra day for June 19-trade no 51

US index dow 30 up 54 points at 7.25 pm India time( US  ET time - nearly 10 am)

 

 

US market may see signicant correction -possibly twice once in next hour or so but more likely in afternoon. After that, in the last hour upward movement is likely.

 

On kaching trading site, a numbe of stocks have been shorted at limit prices and existing stock of aloca shares sold at limit prices.

 

Long positions at limit prices may be created upon correction.

 

Update: Indian market Prediction - Intra day for June 19- trade 50

As seen in chart position on trade 50 is now in profit zone with premium at Rs 102 and profit not yet booked.( only 10 lots purchased)

 

Market may go up towards end of day but no trade recommended
 

Trade no 49- specific trade recommendation was not given.

 

 

Nifty now close to day's high , sensex at 185 near day 's high point.

Buy  10 nifty 4300 puts  at current price of Rs 86 and another 20 at limit price of Rs 73 before 1 pm.

 

Market may correct temporarily again in afternoon. Protect profit by margin of Rs 15 withtraling stop loss of rs 5

Indian market Prediction - Intra day for June 19- trade 50

Trade no 49- specific trade recommendation was not given.

 

 

Nifty now close to day's high , sensex at 185 near day 's high point.

Buy  10 nifty 4300 puts  at current price of Rs 86 and another 20 at limit price of Rs 73 before 1 pm.

 

Market may correct temporarily again in afternoon. Protect profit by margin of Rs 15 withtraling stop loss of rs 5

Indian market Prediction - Intra day for June 19- trade 49

Market likely to reach its intra day high point around mid day. Hence buy Nifty call 4200 options if available at significantly lower premium than yesterday closing.

 

Actual trade recommendation may be given  after observing initial trading pattern

 

 

Re: Predictions today

No Prediction for Indian or  US market will be given today

US market Prediction - Intra day for June 17

Intra day prediction may not be given today due to cards indicating an uncertain trading pattern . However final update wlil be given after observing trading pattern

Losses(unbooked): US market Prediction - Intra day for June 16 - trade no 48

Total value of portfolio now down to $10.36 million - a loss of $0.60 million since start of week.

 

The bulk of these losses are due to long position in Aluminium stock Alcoa( over 950,000 shares)

 

Pure day trading losses: Profit of $ 18,000 on shorting walmart, Loss of $33,000 on buying Aloca 150500  new shares- net day trading loss  $15,000.

 

 

Comment: Pls read the weekly predictions for US market. Strictly following the weekly strategy of shorting for next day and closing long position on same day would have been hugely profitable- something we did not implement due to odd trading hours
 

Predictions today

Due to unclear card formations, no Indian market prediction will be given today. US market predictions may be posted.

 

 

Review: US market Prediction - Intra day for June 16 and trade no 48

The prediction was correct ony to th  extent of  correction that was and did occur during afternoon. Upward movement however did not materialize.

 

Details of trade will begiven before US market opens today.

 

Pls note Today's intra day market prediction for US-june 16 carries higher risk.

 

 

US market index almost flat. Sharp temporary downward movement in afternoon may be preceded and proceeded by upward movement. hence both long and short positions will be created

US market Prediction - Intra day for June 16 and trade no 48

Pls note Today's intra day market prediction for US-june 16 carries higher risk.

 

 

US market index almost flat. Sharp temporary downward movement in afternoon may be preceded and proceeded by upward movement. hence both long and short positions will be created

Losses on Trade 47: US market Prediction - Intra day for June 15 and trade no 47

Total losses in value of portfolio was approx $ 336,000 on June 15.Pls see the chart and prediction for yesterday.

 

However bulk of these losses were on account of carryover of stocks from last week ( ALcoa corp and walmart). Losses on account of these were $350,000 approx.

 

Pure profits form implementing day trading strategy were : Profits from IBM shorting $21,00, Profit from creating further long position in Aloca $12,000, Profit from exxon $2200, Losses from Diamond fund $18,000. Net profit from implementing prediction based day trading strategy was $17,200 approx. hence change in portfolio value was approx $336,00 (after brokerage costs involved)

 

we will be making these observations when day change in value of portfolio is heavily affected by effect of non strategy related past portfolio carry over which obscures the effectiveness of prediction based day trading strategy- either negatively or positively

 

 

Predictions today

No Prediction for indian market wil be posted today. Prediction for US market may be given-fyi

Review: US market Prediction - Intra day for June 15 and trade no 47

As chart shows there was no bounceback of any significance as predicted . Details of trade will be given before US market opens today.

 

US market expected to open down based on futures market indcators.

 

Cards indicate however that market will bounceback and may be close to day's high by afternoon ( 1-2 pm approx). Late afternoon may see loss of gains again

 

Long positions in Diamond index fund created to benefit from intra day bounceback.

 

short positions in IBM and Alcoa created to offset losses from carryover of long positions and benefit from corrections.

US market Prediction - Intra day for June 15 and trade no 47

US market expected to open down based on futures market indcators.

 

Cards indicate however that market will bounceback and may be close to day's high by afternoon ( 1-2 pm approx). Late afternoon may see loss of gains again

 

Long positions in Diamond index fund created to benefit from intra day bounceback.

 

short positions in IBM and Alcoa created to offset losses from carryover of long positions and benefit from corrections.

website design Glitches

1. we have mentioned glitches in the websites www.cboe.com and www.moneybhai.com.

 

2. we hae tried some methods to overcome glitch associated  with latter but due to its inherent design problems  such as inability in accpeting more than thee buy/short sell orders at atime and delay in executing orders in real time , we may not post trading results on the same. On US options trading  site, we may start posting results after initial trials.

Profit booked: Indian market Prediction - Intra day for June 15 Trade no 46

See previous three predictions posed today.

 

Premium on nifty 4600 Puts is now at Rs 150-157 after the sharp fall. Profit booked around at Rs  148. after brokerage profit on trade 46 woud be around Rs 12000.

 

No futher intra day trade prediction wil be given

 

 

 

Hint: One can make another trade inthe lst hour if above is (trade 46 ) is profitable) by buying call options. ( we will not be publishing this trade-prediction)
 

Re: Indian market Prediction - Intra day for June 15 and trade no 46

Proft booked on previous prediction based trade ( no 45) at premium )of approx Rs 120. Profit on 10 lots is Rs 11000.after brokerage.

 

Trade no 46: Market may dip sharply and temporarily. Buy 10 4600 Pt options at current premium of Rs 122 and another 10 at Rs 108 ( day's lowest so far is Rs 115). Protect profits as before.

 

 

Hint: One can make another trade inthe lst hour if above is (trade 46 ) is profitable) by buying call options. ( we will not be publishing this trade-prediction)
 

Indian market Prediction - Intra day for June 15

Nifty 4600 call option now at Rs 96. Buy 10 call options now and another 10 at Rs 82 if available in next one hour . protect profits of Rs 10 with trailing stop loss of 4

 

Pls note that trading results on moneybhai will not be published until we can solution to a  website design problem- trade orders are not excuted for a long time (unlike real trading or even Kaching trading platforms) creating discrepancy between predictions and its execution time.

Update: NBA finals 2009 Prediction and Intra day indian markets June 15

Lakers have won the 5th game and NBA Championship (see prediction posted on www.ckal.in) by 99-86 against Magic

 

Magic won only two quarters, by a small margin

 

Intra day prediction may be posted before 11.30 ( Buy call options upon any morning correction) as market may reach intra day high around mid day in a market that may be volatile

 

 

 

Weekly prediction- Indian and US markets ( Juneen 15-19)

Prediction for Indian and US stock markets for the week - June 15-19


1. India

Main indices may gain on weekly basis but after a strong correction that is possible during mid week.Volatility may be particularly marked towards end of the week.( it may be a good idea to day- trade only)

a. strategy 1 ( high risk)- short index on Monday and Tuesday in two equal lots on gain of 300 and 600 points from last week's closing and hold maximum till Thursday

b Strategy 2: take long position of correction of 300 and 600 points during midweek in equal lots

Stocks: Go long on RIL and short HDFC( stock specific predictions carry higher risk)

2. US

US market will also correct strongly but on most days bounceback from such corrections. ON our Kaching trading account ,short positions will mostly be carried over to next trading day and squared off during corrections while long positions created upon any strong intra day correction will be squared off on same day

Disclaimer: Usual risk and responsibility disclaimers apply

Prediction of T20 cricket match between India and England posted on http://www.ckal.in/ . Also read prediction of NBA finals 2009 5th game

Re: Profits from Prediction based trading on Kaching Trading website

Profits from Prediction based trading on Kaching Trading website

1. we started our prediction based trading on Kaching trading website from May 28,2009 using the initial allottment of virtual capital of $10 million.

2. This is a authentic trading/investment website which also offers investors/traders to trade with real money on the same platform

3. details of profit/loss are given in table below. Our porftfolio has increased 9.6% as seen in our Kaching Trading site value of our portfolio has increased by over 5 % in last week against negative increase in S&P index. In last trade of June 12, portfolio increased by 2.7%against 0.2% growth in S&P 500 index
 

	Profit/Loss from day trade
June 12	$130,000
June 11	$390,000
June 10	$250,500
June 9	$150,000
June 8	$8300
June 5	$16500
June 3	$368,000
June 2	-$74000
May 29	1$3750
May 28	$6000
Total Profit/increase in portfolio value	1249050

4. There is discrepancy in the present value of portfolio (9.6% increase) and as reflected in the table below( 12.4%). This may be due to number of reasons including price reporting error on website, possible neglect of some losses on shorting of stocks. we assume the lower of the two figures as being correct
.

5. From now on Option trading results may be included based on trades from another webite www.cboe.com ( option express) .

6. similarly we may start giving trading results for the Indian section using the Indian trading websiet www.moneybhai.com

Review: US market Prediction - Intra day for June 12-trade 44

The observed intra day chart closely conforms to prediction for Dow index.

Most of the profits on short and long positiosn were booked

Total profits - $ 130,000 approx

Total value of portfolio is now $10.958 million an increase of 9.6% percent since May 28

PS: (a) As noted earlier, last profit and value of portfolio sometime changes in off market hours. The stated profits are as shown on Kaching account at time of writing(b) However since signifcant profit were made by shorting IBM from yesterday's carry over porftfolio, actual profits may be slightly less.(b) Option trading on cboe website has been started and results wil be given after initial glitches are sorted out

Scroll down to read the orginal prediction

scroll down to read ( on http://www.ckal.in/ ) NBA finals predictions, Details of profits on Trading Kaching website using our predictions

US market Prediction - Intra day for June 12

US market down 16 points at 7.15 pm( 9.45am US ET) approx

 

 

we have created long positions in anticipation of rise i n market today amidst volatility and choppiness and also created certain short positions ( under market and limit price orders).

 

Last hour of trade may be particularly volatile with greater possibility of a fall.

 

scroll down to read ( on www.ckal.in ) NBA finals predictions, Details of profits on Trading Kaching website using our predictions

Profits from Prediction based trading on Kaching Trading website

1. we started our prediction based trading on Kaching trading website from May 28,2009 using the initial allottment of virtual capital of $10 million.

2. This is a authentic trading/investment website which also offers investors/traders to trade with real money on the same platform

3. details of profit/loss are given in table below. Our porftfolio has increased 8.2% as seen in our Kaching Trading site.( details of trades can be verified there).

4. There is discrepancy in the present value of portfolio (8.2% increase) and as reflected in the table below( 11.2%). This may be due to number of reasons including price reporting error on website, possible neglect of some losses on shorting of stocks. we assume the lower of the two figures as being correct

	Profit/Loss from day trade
June 11	$390,000
June 10	$250,500
June 9	$150,000
June 8	$8,300
June 5	$16,500
June 3	$368,000
June 2	-$74000
May 29	$3750
May 28	$6000
Total Profit/increase in portfolio value	1,11,9050

.

5. From now on Option trading results may be included based on trades from another webite http://www.cboe.com/ ( option express) .

6. similarly we may start giving trading results for the Indian section using the Indian trading websiet http://www.moneybhai.com/

Review: US market Prediction - Intra day for June 11-trade no 43

Intra day chart closely matches the prediction given except that bounceback after afternoon correction did not happen.

 

On Kaching trading site, profits were booked shortly before Dow hit afternoon peak ,Short positions on IBM and Walmart were unbooked.

 

Total booked profits approx:                       $280,000

Unbooked profits on short position               $116,000

 

Total day increase in portfolio:(june 11 profit)                                                          $390,000 approx

 

Total value of portfolio is now 10,818,000 approx a gain of 8.20%

 

PS: There may be some error regarding the value of Profit from IBM shorting which may be less by $40-50K. This will need to confiirmed.secondly we have noticed total profit sometimes changes in off market hours- which is not possible
 

 

 

Prediction as Posted several hours before market opened on June 11

 

Today's prediction is high risk because of use of a truncated model and also cards indicating choppiness and volatility.

US markets may heit apeak around mid day before a correction sets in. Bounceback and correction may follow again.

 

Mix short and long positions to make profit with emphasis on shorting stocks like IBM and United Technology

Prediction of NBA finals 2009 -4th game

Prediction of the 4th game of NBA finals 2009 to be played in a few hours has been posted at www.ckal.in

US market Prediction - Intra day for June 11

Today's prediction is high risk because of use of a truncated model and also cards indicating choppiness and volatility.

US markets may heit apeak around mid day before a correction sets in. Bounceback and correction may follow again.

 

Mix short and long positions to make profit with emphasis on shorting stocks like IBM and United Technology

Review: Trade no 41 & 42: US market Prediction - Intra day for June 10

Inspite of the predicted correction , the overall index movement  did not turnout as predicted.

 

Certin shares shorted di not get executed due to price limits-hence no profit no loss

 

However because of portfolio of three shares( Alcoa, Caterpillar and Walmart), unbooked profit was $250,500. The total value of proffolio is 10,535,000- gain of 5.35% since May 28( start fo trading).

 

 

Note: In the investment portfolio besides wells fargo and unite dtech, three other large cap shares that may be included are 1. Alcoa ( aluminium), Caterpillar ( infrastructure) and Exxon mobil (oil)

 

Scroll down to read the original prediction.

 

No intra day prediction will be posted. But advanced prediction for US market( 5-6- hours before market opening)  may be posted

Trade no 41 & 42: US market Prediction - Intra day for June 10

US index dow 30 up 56 points. we expect the markets to go up. Profit/loss from our current portfolio (trade 41) may be maximum well before close of trade today .


This is because at least one correction may take place in late afternoon and proft/loss from shorting will be treated as trade 42

Prediction of NBA finals -june 10

The prediction for the 3rd game of NBA fianls is now posted on www.ckal.in .

Indian Stock Markets -Intra day Prediction for June 10

No intra day prediction will be posted today for indian markets.

 

This is partly due to (unclear) indications that market may be choppy or range bound .

Review:Trade no 40: US market Prediction - Intra day for June 9

See the intra day chart here. Market did not up to th extent itwas expected. ( Nadaq outperformed dow index). Secondly index tocuhed a low of -39.5 in the time specificed as against -40 limit set for purchase of another 6 call options.Loss was approx based on options calculation approx $340.

 

However long positions in three shares on kaching gave a profit of  $150,000 approx. Total value of portfolio starting at 10 million is now $10,434,000

 

US market index dow 30 upo 26 points.

 

 

we expect market to go up further. However there is at least one  correction due in afternoon which may be temporary.

 

 

Long positions maintained in Alcoa ,caterpillar and Walmart shares on kaching trading site

 

 

Also buy 5 call options now and another 6 if dow corrects to -40 points in next one hour.

 

PREDICTION OF THE 3RD GAME OF NBA TO BE PLAYED TONIGHT MAY BE POSTED LATER ON WWW.CKAL.IN

Trade no 40: US market Prediction - Intra day for June 9

US makret index dow 30 upo 26 points.

 

 

we expect market to go up further. However there is at least one  correction due in afternoon which may be temporary.

 

 

Long positions maintained in Alcoa ,caterpillar and Walmart shares on kaching trading site

 

 

Also buy 5 call options now and another 6 if dow corrects to -40 points in next one hour.

 

PREDICTION OF THE 3RD GAME OF NBA TO BE PLAYED TONIGHT MAY BE POSTED LATER ON WWW.CKAL.IN

Predictions

No Intra day prediction for Indian markets June 9 will be posted.

 

Prediction for the 3 game of NBA may  be posted inext 24 hours

 

Intra day prediction may be given for US market

Review: Trade no 39: US market Prediction - Intra day for June 8

All three aspects of the prediction seem to be in line with observed index movement though steeper correction was expected in the last hour( itwas abt 40 points)

 

After verifying the prices from moneycvv website, profits were

 

1. approx $ 12,000 booked profit from shorting and covering( IBM, Boeing and Caterpillar shares)
2. unbooked combined Loss of $3700 on long positions ( in Aloca(loss) Caterpillar(profit) Walmart(profit)

 

Net profit is about $9000

 

Intra day prediction as Posted on June 8

 

 

US market may dip or correct on opening but likely to move up. A correction is again possible in late afternoon.

 

As we are carrying long and short positions from last week, we will be placing limit price orders  for various shares/index funds to enhance benefit from today's expected/predicted movement in indices

 

 

Pls note today's prediction carries higher risk

Kaching Trading -errors in price/profit reporting

we have noticed errors in price reporting and profit/loss calculation on Kaching trading platform. For example profit for Friday reported on saturday which macthe with price data on cnnmoney website turned in to loss before market opening today. This is clearly not possible.

 

Henceforth both original practice of  reporting options trade will be given along with data from Kaching trading . latter will be reported only if prcie/profit is correctly reported
 

Review: Indian Stock Markets -Intra day Prediction for June 8

Though call option premium gained at least rs 9 over purchase price, we assume that as indicated in update no profit no loss was made.

 

Shorting recommednations in morning as also in afternoon ( less specfic however) would have profitable

 

 

THere will be more than one opportunity to make profits today in a choppy/volatile market. Actual trade may be recommended after observing initial trade.

 

Index can be shorted on a positive opening( 80-100 points) or more

 

In the second email following this it was mentioned market may fall sharply in afternoon) scroll down below to read)

Trade no 39: US market Prediction - Intra day for June 8

US market may dip or correct on opening but likely to move up. A correction is again possible in late afternoon.

 

As we are carrying long and short positions from last week, we will be placing limit price orders  for various shares/index funds to enhance benefit from today's expected/predicted movement in indices

 

 

Pls note today's prediction carries higher risk

Update: Re: Trade no 38: Indian Stock Markets -Intra day Prediction for June 8

Profit target should be reduced to Rs 9 with no loss( exit at Rs 174 to avoid any loss) as market may be choppy.

 

 

 

SHOULD ENVIRONMENT MINISTRY SUPPORT CERTAIN OBJECTIVES OF RENEWABLES ENERGY PROGRAMME IN ThE NEW SET UP????. PLS END YOUR COMMENTS AT WWWKALIN@YAHOO.CO.IN

 

 

 

 

Nifty down over 70 points sensex down 136 points. Nifty call option 4500 now at rs 172 with day's low so far at rs 166.

 

Buy 10 call options at current price and another 20 at price of Rs 160 in next 30 mts.

 

proetct profits on gains of Rs 14 with traliing stop loss of rs 4. do not buy second lot if profit on first 10 lot is triggered before purchase of next 20 lots .

 

Market may again fall sharply in afternoon

 

 

There will be more than one opportunity to make profits today in a choppy/volatile market. Actual trade may be recommended after observing initial trade.

 

Index can be shorted on a positive opening( 80-100 points) or more

 

 

NO WEEKLY PREDICTION WILL BE POSTED THIS WEEK

Trade no 38: Indian Stock Markets -Intra day Prediction for June 8

Nifty down over 70 points sensex down 136 points. Nifty call option 4500 now at rs 172 with day's low so far at rs 166.

 

Buy 10 call options at current price and another 20 at price of Rs 160 in next 30 mts.

 

proetct profits on gains of Rs 14 with traliing stop loss of rs 4. do not buy second lot if profit on first 10 lot is triggered before purchase of next 20 lots .

 

Market may again fall sharply in afternoon

 

 

There will be more than one opportunity to make profits today in a choppy/volatile market. Actual trade may be recommended after observing initial trade.

 

Index can be shorted on a positive opening( 80-100 points) or more

 

 

NO WEEKLY PREDICTION WILL BE POSTED THIS WEEK

Indian Stock Markets -Intra day Prediction for June 8

THere will be more than one opportunity to make profits today in a choppy/volatile market. Actual tradE may be recommended after observing initial trade.

 

Index can be shorted on a positive opening( 80-100 points) or more

 

 

NO WEEKLY PREDICTION WILL BE POSTED THIS WEEK

Prediction of NBA finals: Magic vs Lakers june 7

The above prediction is now posted on www.ckal.in

Review: US Stock Markets -Prediction for June 1-5

US market last week(june 1-5) as posted on June 1


US markets likely to show volatile pattern ( of an intra day nature) where on most occasions indices will show a tendency to bounceback from
dips/corrections

It is possible Nasdaq index may outpeform dow this week.

For our Kaching bases trading, positions will be nasdaq or stok specific
mostly and with a view to holder most of the week

Review: Indian Stock Markets -Prediction for June 1-5

See chart for the preceding week(june 1-5). ( In a weekly prediction mid phase of the week is somewhat imprecisely defined, includes wednesday,part of Tues and Thursday in a full 5 day trading week)

 

Both strategies followed exactly would have been profitable

 

Weekly Prediction as Posted on June 1(below)

 

The prediction for this week is similar to last week's- a correction till mid week followed by bounceback.

 

1. Short index at levels  of +300 and +6 00 until it becomes profitable by mid week.

 

2. Also and alternatively ( for risk averse) Long positions can be built  once correction materializes ( of 250 and 300 points ) which may give profits by end of week (thursday/Friday)

 

 

No other weekly prediction ( except possibly for US market) and no intra day prediction for June 1 for the  Indian market will be posted.

Review: Trade no 37: US market Prediction - Intra day for June 5

See chart for June 5 intra day US market and prediction below. a number of long and short position were created using Walmart, Diamond Index fund (DIA), Alcoa corp, Caterpillar. Total unbooked profit is

 

$16,500.

Note: Due to odd US trade timings (from Indian perspective), difficulty in squaring buy/sell orders in line with our prediction needs to be resolved. Till such time, unbooked loss/profit will be treated as actual loss./profit for that day in most cases

Prediction as Posted  on June 5

 

 

US market up over 70 points. The market may see a sharp dip before noon but likely to be moving up afterr that In closing hour, sharp movement is possible but indicies may lose muchof the gains( this part of prediction is least certain)

 

A mix of short and long poistion has been created in Diamond index fund (DIA), walmart, caterpillar shares to take advantage of volatility that i s possible today.

 

 

Pls note today's prediction carries higher risk

Trade no 37: US market Prediction - Intra day for June 5

US market up over 70 points. The market may see a sharp dip before noon but likely to be moving up afterr that In closing hour, sharp movement is possible but indicies may lose muchof the gains( this part of prediction is least certain)

 

A mix of short and long poistion has been created in Diamond index fund (DIA), walmart, caterpillar shares to take advantage of volatility that i s possible today.

 

 

Pls note today's prediction carries higher risk

Predictions

No prediction will be posted today ( for Indian markets)

Predictions for certain matches of the World Cup Cricket ( T20 series)
starting June 5 will now appear on select days only on www.ckal.in

Update on unbooked losses: US market Prediction - Intra day /weekly trade for June 3-4Trade no 34-36

Caterillar corp shares now trading at $38.01. Profits of $ 294,272 have been booked since intra day trend is not known  of rest of the day.

 

 

However since we will treat yesterday unbooked loss as Loss of $ 74k approx( full detailswill be posted later),

 

profit from trade 36

will be 294,272+74,000=$368,272( on total capital of $10 million).

 

All profits and losses (from Kaching trading platform) will be normalized to initial assumed capital of Rs 10 lacs

 

 

Review: Trade no 35: Indian market Prediction - Intra day for June 4

As seen in chart prediction broadly conforms to observed pattern with net gain of Rs 8000.No long position recommendation as actually posted

 

 

Prediction As posted in pre market hours

 

 

Nifty down about 38 points. Nifty 4500 puts at Rs 165. Buy 20 Puts at current price and another 20 may be purchased at Rs 153 ( days; lowest price so far is 157) before 1pm.

 

Market may suddenly bounceback after a sharp fall .hence protect profit after gain  of rs 15 with trailing stop loss of rs 4
 

Profit booked: Trade no 35: Indian market Prediction - Intra day for June 4

Profit from first 20 lots is Rs 16000 since nifty puts 4500 reached the highest premium of R s185. However we did not give clear instructions on next 20 lots.Hence loss is booked at current premium of Rs 149. Total loss is 6000 after brokerage

 

Net profit is Rs 8000 after brokerage on all 40  lots.

 

Market has sharply bounced back after correctionas seen in the chart. no further trade recommended

 

 

 

Nifty down about 38 points. Nifty 4500 puts at Rs 165. Buy 20 Puts at current price and another 20 may be purchased at Rs 153 ( days; lowest price so far is 157) before 1pm.

 

Market may suddenly bounceback after a sharp fall .hence protect profit after gain  of rs 15 with trailing stop loss of rs 4
 

Trade no 35: Indian market Prediction - Intra day for June 4

Nifty down about 38 points. Nifty 4500 puts at Rs 165. Buy 20 Puts at current price and another 20 may be purchased at Rs 153 ( days; lowest price so far is 157) before 1pm.

 

Market may suddenly bounceback after a sharp fall .hence protect profit after gain  of rs 15 with trailing stop loss of rs 4
 

Indian market Prediction - Intra day for June 4

In a choppy market , Sensex may fall sharply by mid day before bouncing back in afetrnoon ( however bounceback in afternoon is less certain than the correction which may happen).

 

Short index on a mild weak opening in morning .

 

 

Pls note that yesterday only one trade 34 was given

 

 

actual trade may be recommended after observing initial trade
 

Review and unbooked losses: US market Prediction - Intra day for June 3-Trade no 34-35

The chart broadly conforms to prediction as posted yesterday.

 

However shares of Caterpillar were purchased at $36.94 as opposed to closing price of $36.66 with total unbooked  loss of $74,000 approx. ( on a total capital of $10 million) .Shares of Caterpillar performed badly compared to the main index

 

This loss may be higher or lower by end of this week though  US market is expected to rebound in keeping with weekly prediction

 

 

Prediction as posted on June 3

 

 

1. There may be more than one opportunity (possibly three) for making profit today in US market. From a. possible correction when market may move up. b A correction in afternoon and again c. a bounceback towards close of trading time( last 60-80 mts)

 

Long position created for share of Caterpillar Corp( limit price orders).

 

Update may be given if trade is carried out.

 

Note: From now on in absence of   options trading for indices on Kaching trading site, shares of companies may be traded

US market Prediction - Intra day for June 3-Trade no 34-35

1. There may be more than one opportunity (possibly three) for making profit today in US market. From a. possible correction when market may move up. b A correction in afternoon and again c. a bounceback towards close of trading time( last 60-80 mts)

 

Long position created for share of Caterpillar Corp( limit price orders).

 

Update may be given if trade is carried out.

 

Note: From now on in absence of   options trading for indices on Kaching trading site, shares of companies may be traded

Review: Indian market Prediction - Intra day for June 3

 

 

No trade recommendation was posted. See prediction below.Intra day chart above

 

Intra day Prediction as Posted  thi smorning (before market opened)

 

 

The Indian market is expected to move up today after a flattish start or initial correction with at least one episode of correction in late afternoon( from which it should bounceback) . May hit day's high point before that.

 

actual trade may be recommended after observing initial trade
 

Indian market Prediction - Intra day for June 3

 

The Indian market is expected to move up today after a flattish start or initial correction with at least one episode of correction in late afternoon( from which it should bounceback) . May hit day's high point before that.

 

actual trade may be recommended after observing initial trade
 

Update: US Stock Markets -Prediction for June 1-5 and Intra day fro June 1

 

Keeping in view the predicted trend of US markets this week(see below)  and lack of clarity ( choppiness perhaps ??) in  today's Intra day movement long orders placed ( price limit orders) for

 

1. Boeing Corporation ( which may become profitable even today )

 

2. Diamond index fund (ETF) which proxies dow 30 index.

 

Read below for Indian Market in June

 

US market this week


US markets likely to show volatile pattern ( of an intra day nature) where
on most occasions indices will show a tendency to bounceback from
dips/corrections

It is possible Nasdaq index may outpeform dow this week.

For our Kaching bases trading, positions will be nasdaq or stok specific
mostly and with a view to holder most of the week

Intra day June 1: market may surge up after initial loss of momentum

Indian Stock Markets -Prediction for June

June month is again likely  to see gains in the indices.. However the market is likely to witness its worst phase in mid june ( approx 10-20). After which upward movement of markets may resume.

 

short index by mid of next week which should become profitable by /before 20th june(approx).

 

 

Update: Indian Stock Markets -Prediction for June 1-5

sensex is now down over 100 points, almost 200 points from day's high and from the point from which shortng was recommended in first stage ( +300 points -see weekly prediction below). Hence this is now profitable with possibility of higher profit later in the day and tommorrow.

 

Long position on index should be postponed till wednesday June 3

 

June prediction may be posted in next 48 hours

 

 

 

The prediction for this week is similar to last week's- a correction till mid week followed by bounceback.

 

1. Short index at levels  of +300 and +6 00 until it becomes profitable by mid week.

 

2. Also and alternatively ( for risk averse) Long positions can be built  once correction materializes ( of 250 and 300 points ) which may give profits by end of week (thursday/Friday)

 

 

No other weekly prediction ( except possibly for US market) and no intra day prediction for June 1 for the  Indian market will be posted.

Review: May Month's prediction-Indian stock market

1. Sensex closed well above the April closing. Thsi would be true even if 2000 point gain  post election which is anamoly and not predicted is discounted.See Month of May chart   (No intra day prediction for Indian markets  will be posted today June 2)   On May 4 ,sensex closed at 12134 up 731 points. Cards indicate that market do well in the ongoing phase while a severe correction is due in the part of may ( corresponding to pre and post election results dates???) . However amidst volatility indices like sensex will move up thereafter. Overall net gain is possible even counting from yesterday closing but episodes of severe volatility being a distinct possibility. ON IPL predictions see www.ckal.in -- Posted By sujat kamal to WWW.KAL.IN : where Future is Present at 5/05/2009 08:17:00 AM

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Review: US market - Intra day for June 1

 

US markets kept going up or remained stable without lss of momentum as seen in June 1 chart.

 

Kaching based price orders not met

 

Intra day June 1: market may surge up after initial loss of momentum

update: US Stock Markets -Prediction for June 1-5 and Intra day fro June 1

If profits appear later tonight these may be booked since weekly trend is volatile(dow up 150 points) even though weekly gains may be higher

 

US market this week( with corrections)


US markets likely to show volatile pattern ( of an intra day nature) where
on most occasions indices will show a tendency to bounceback from
dips/corrections

It is possible Nasdaq index may outpeform dow this week.

For our Kaching bases trading, positions will be nasdaq or stock specific
mostly and with a view to hold on most of the week

Intra day June 1: market may surge up after initial loss of momentum

US Stock Markets -Prediction for June 1-5 and Intra day fro June 1

US market this week

US markets likely to show volatile pattern ( of an intra day nature) where
on most occasions indices will show a tendency to bounceback from
dips/corrections

It is possible Nasdaq index may outpeform dow this week.

For our Kaching bases trading, positions will be nasdaq or stok specific
mostly and with a view to holder most of the week

Intra day June 1: market may surge up after initial loss of momentum

Indian Stock Markets -Prediction for June 1-5

The prediction for this week is similar to last week's- a correction till mid week followed by bounceback.

 

1. Short index at levels  of +300 and +6 00 until it becomes profitable by mid week.

 

2. Also and alternatively ( for risk averse) Long positions can be built  once correction materializes ( of 250 and 300 points ) which may give profits by end of week (thursday/Friday)

 

 

No other weekly prediction ( except possibly for US market) and no intra day prediction for June 1 for the  Indian market will be posted.

Review: World Markets this week-Prediction for May 25-29

As can be seen from the three weekly charts for the three world markst,(Japan Germany & India- US prediction was not given), charts conform quiet well to the predicted weekly trend/ strategies

 

Weekly prediction as Posted on May 25

Pls adjust the correction/bounceback dates if any of the markets have less than 5 trading days this week

 

 

Japanese Stock markets(Nikkie 225): Short Nikkie 225 index ( now up 85 points in morning) once it cross +200 points. This is likely  to become profitable by mid week.However any correction on Tuesday should be treated as opportunity to take long position for 1-2 days

 

 

Dax Index(germany): short index on positive values of index as market may see see a strong correction  by/before Wednesday before a bounceback towards end  of week

 

 

Sensex-Nifty : Mixed trend. sensex after a strong (300-400) point correction may see upward trend. Hence take long position after correction materializes by/before mid week

 

US market prediction may be given later.

 

Sensex-Intra day May 25: Buy call options after any sharp dip or correction before 11.30 am.

Review : Trade no 34: Intra day US Stock market prediction May 29

As seen in chart we booked profits before the highest point in late afternoon. ( due to market choppiness).

 

Proft of $3750

 

Prediction as posted on May 29 below
 

US market likley to rise to day's highest by afternoon with possibility of temporary correction by late afternoon( which we will ignore in our trades)

 

OnKaching trading platform orders placed for US$110000  or more ( price limit orders) for

 

1. DIA index fund

2. shares of 3M corpor

 

Hope to see profits by late afternoon

Update on Profit booked: Trade no 34: Intra day US Stock market prediction May 29

As clear from portfolio /cash position profits from today's trade after deducting yesterday's profit is
$ 3750. Due to our need to demonstrate effectiveness of day trading or weekly o r monthly predictions we will be liquidating all stocks after a certain time ( day or week or month) as the case may be.

Last Price

Change

Cost/Share

Shares

Mkt Value

Total Gain

% Gain

% of Port

.

Cash
Available Cash:						10,009,750			100.0%
Short Collateral:						0			0.0%
Subtotal Cash:						10,009,750			100.0%
Total:						10,009,750

At this time profits of approx $ 1320 are booked. The table below shows $6000 profit of yesterday.

Final picture on profits will be given later.

Pls note although profits seem high , it is partly because of large virtual money allocated for trading/investment on Kaching trading platform. The table may not be fully visible becaue of formatting problems.

MM

SHORT

5,000

$56.45

limit

5/29/09 10:25 PM

Current Holdings

Company	Research	Last Price	Change	Cost/Share	Shares	Mkt Value	Total Gain	% Gain	% of Port.
Long Positions
DIA		84.04	0.02	83.41	10,000 + –	840,400	6,350	0.8%	8.4%
MMM		56.43	0.12	56.24	5,000 + –	282,170	970	0.3%	2.8%
Subtotal Longs:						1,122,570	7,320	0.7%	11.2%

Profit booked: Trade no 34: Intra day US Stock market prediction May 29

At this time profits of approx $ 1320 are booked. The table below shows $6000 profit of yesterday.

Final picture on profits  will be given later.

Pls note although profits seem high , it is partly because  of large virtual money allocated for trading/investment on Kaching trading platform. The  table may not be fully visible becaue of formatting problems.

MM

SHORT

5,000

$56.45

limit

5/29/09 10:25 PM

Current Holdings

Company	Research	Last Price	Change	Cost/Share	Shares	Mkt Value	Total Gain	% Gain	% of Port.
Long Positions
DIA		84.04	0.02	83.41	10,000 + –	840,400	6,350	0.8%	8.4%
MMM		56.43	0.12	56.24	5,000 + –	282,170	970	0.3%	2.8%
Subtotal Longs:						1,122,570	7,320	0.7%	11.2%

Trade no 34: Intra day US Stock market prediction May 29

US market likley to rise to day's highest by afternoon with possibility of temporary correction by late afternoon( which we will ignore in our trades)

 

OnKaching trading platform orders placed for US$110000  or more ( price limit orders) for

 

1. DIA index fund

2. shares of 3M corpor

 

Hope to see profits by late afternoon

Book loss: Intra day Prediction May 29Indian markets trade 33

Nifty 4200 put price now at Rs 89.70. since the prediction in in essence incorrect today book a loss of Rs 6000 on 10+10(20) lots bought at Rs 99.20 and Rs 90.( correction and upswing may still happen however outside the predicted time zone)

Re: Intra day Prediction May 29Indian markets trade 33

Nifty at 4390. There may be two opportunities to make profit today.

 

Go short. Buy 10 Puts 4200 at Rs 99.20 curren price and another 10 at Rs 90  in next 30 mts.

protect profits by margin fo Rs 13 traling stop loss of Rs 4

 

Correction possible before 2 pm amidst volatility and rise thereafter possible

 

 

 

Re: Intra day Prediction May 29Indian markets

Profit from US trade May 28 - using Kaching real time Investment(trading improvised) platform

 

 

The table below may not appear correctly

 

5000 unit of DIA exchange Fund( to proxy dow index) purchased at $82.80 with profit at end of the  day of $6000.

 

The trading platform allocates $10 million of virtual money for investing. However we will be using this for demonstrating prediction based trading

 

Current Holdings

Company	Research	Last Price	Change	Cost/Share	Shares	Mkt Value	Total Gain	% Gain	% of Port.
Long Positions
DIA		84.02	0.86	82.82	5,000 + –	420,100	6,000	1.4%	4.2%
Subtotal Longs:						420,100	6,000	1.4%	4.2%
Cash
Available Cash:						9,585,900			95.8%
Short Collateral:						0			0.0%
Subtotal Cash:						9,585,900			95.8%
Total:						10,006,000	6,000

 

 

US market : Henceforth , performance of US markets related prediction will also be demonstrated using the Kaching virtual Investing /trading platform. As options are currently not included in the Kaching platform we will be making use of ETFs ( suchas  Daaimond Trust Index) most closely tracking Dow /Nasdaq Index

Re: Intra day Prediction May 29Indian markets

Information about any prediction for Indian markets for today will  be posted between 10-11 am.

 

 

US market : Henceforth , performance of US markets related prediction will also be demonstrated using the Kaching virtual Investing /trading platform. As options are currently not included in the Kaching platform we will be making use of ETFs ( suchas  Daaimond Trust Index) most closely tracking Dow /Nasdaq Index

Review: Intra day Prediction May 28-Indian markets

Prediction (without general specific trading recommendation) as posted in pre market hours today:

 

 

NO Prediction may be posted today. Part of the reason is the possibility of unusual trading patterns emerging ,possibily sharp volatility or choppiness in the markets.

 

However those wishing to trade may take long position( Call options)  if markets corrects in first 15-30 mts ( over 150 points or more ). This may be give profits by afternoon or earlier

Intra day Prediction May 28-Indian markets

NO Prediction may be posted today. Part of the reason is the possibility of unusual trading patterns emerging ,possibily sharp volatility or choppiness in the markets.

 

However those wishing to trade may take long position( Call options)  if markets corrects in first 15-30 mts ( over 150 points or more ). This may be give profits by afternoon or earlier

Review: Intra day Prediction May 27 Indian Markets Trade no 32

The best option price was around Rs 33 in the prescribed time limit and Puts Trade in morning would have been profitable as sensex fell 125 poinst/Nifty over 40 points before 1 pm.

 

Specific recommendation for Long position was not posted for afternoon trade . As seen Sensex bounced over 300 points from afternoon low's

 

Both indices equally well in tandem contrary to our prediction
 

 

 

Prediction based trading as posted in two parts(below)

 

1. Pre market

 

Indian markets may correct or dip sharply(from any strong  postive start) before mid day before a sharp bounceback.

 

Long Position may be initiated upon any 100-150 point correction in sensex.( It is possible that snesex and nifty may perform differently today)

 

actual trade may be recommended after observing initial trade today

 

2. Post market opening

 

Nifty up at 4196. Nifty 4200 Put at rs 48 approx with day';s low at Rs 31

 

Buy 10+10 Puts at Rs 30 and Rs 25 if available  in next 60 mts. exit by  1 pm or earlier if profitt per lot is Rs 13 (Use  trailing stop loss of Rs 5)

 

 

Intra day Prediction May 27 Indian Markets Trade no 32

Nifty up at 4196. Nifty 4200 Put at rs 48 approx with day';s low at Rs 31

 

Buy 10+10 Puts at Rs 30 and Rs 25 if available  in next 60 mts. exit by  1 pm or earlier if profitt per lot is Rs 13 (Use  trailing stop loss of Rs 5)

 

 

Updated Review : World Markets this week-Prediction for May 25-29

 see chart for last 2 days except Nikkie ( for last three days -may 25-27)

 

Summary: All weekly prediction based Trades are in black( profitable)

 

1. Nikkie 225 : Short position recommended at start of week and long position on tuesday correction -both are  profitable now

 

2. DAX: strong correection till tuesday afternoon has given strong profits. However bounceback has already occurred.

 

3. Sensex/Nifty- Correction of 300-400 points has already happened but further correction is not ruled out today(see intra day prediction for today)

 

WEEKLY PREDICTION AS POSTE EARLIER

 

 

Pls adjust the correction/bounceback dates if any of the markets have less than 5 trading days this week

 

 

Japanese Stock markets(Nikkie 225): Short Nikkie 225 index ( now up 85 points in morning) once it cross +200 points. This is likely  to become profitable by mid week.However any correction on Tuesday should be treated as opportunity to take long position for 1-2 days

 

 

Dax Index(germany): short index on positive values of index as market may see see a strong correction  by/before Wednesday before a bounceback towards end  of week

 

 

Sensex-Nifty : Mixed trend. sensex after a strong (300-400) point correction may see upward trend. Hence take long position after correction materializes by/before mid week

 

US market prediction may be given later.

 

Sensex-Intra day May 25: Buy call options after any sharp dip or correction before 11.30 am.

Intra day Prediction May 27 Indian Markets

Indian markets may correct or dip sharply(from any strong  postive start) before mid day before a sharp bounceback.

 

Long Position may be initiated upon any 100-150 point correction in sensex.( It is possible that snesex and nifty may perform differently today)

 

actual trade may be recommended after observing initial trade today

Review : Intra day Prediction based Indian market and weekly prediction

Nifty call premium hit a low of Rs 142 approx in the time limit before reaching ahigh of Rs 186 before 12 noon. Hence no trade.( in afternoon call premium fell to lower levels however)

 

Review of weekly Prediction

 

1. Short position on DAX became  profitable yesterday with a maximum fall of over 90 points after a positive start.

 

2.short position on Nikkie 225 is now in black with nikkie down 95 points but target of +200 for shorting  yesterday was not met ( maximum was Nikkie +175 yesterday.)

 

 

 

 

Pls see the reference to Indian markets for today in previous posting.

 

Nifty has corrected somewhat but alarger correction may be due before a bounceback.

 

Buy  nifty 10 call options at limit price of Rs 135 and 30 call options at limit price of Rs 122  before 11.3 0 am ( day's best price so far is around Rs 150)

 

 

Pls note henceforth there will be fewer but much larger trades since we are working with an assumed traidng capital of Rs 10lacs.Hence losses as well profits will be larger

Intra day Prediction based trade no 31 Indian market May 25

Pls see the reference to Indian markets for today in previous posting.

 

Nifty has corrected somewhat but alarger correction may be due before a bounceback.

 

Buy  nifty 10 call options at limit price of Rs 135 and 30 call options at limit price of Rs 122  before 11.3 0 am ( day's best price so far is around Rs 150)

 

 

Pls note henceforth there will be fewer but much larger trades since we are working with an assumed traidng capital of Rs 10lacs.Hence losses as well profits will be larger

World Markets this week-Prediction for May 25-29

Pls adjust the correction/bounceback dates if any of the markets have less than 5 trading days this week

 

 

Japanese Stock markets(Nikkie 225): Short Nikkie 225 index ( now up 85 points in morning) once it cross +200 points. This is likely  to become profitable by mid week.However any correction on Tuesday should be treated as opportunity to take long position for 1-2 days

 

 

Dax Index(germany): short index on positive values of index as market may see see a strong correction  by/before Wednesday before a bounceback towards end  of week

 

 

Sensex-Nifty : Mixed trend. sensex after a strong (300-400) point correction may see upward trend. Hence take long position after correction materializes by/before mid week

 

US market prediction may be given later.

 

Sensex-Intra day May 25: Buy call options after any sharp dip or correction before 11.30 am.

IPL Finals Prediction: Deccan vs Bangalore

IPL 2 cricket Final- Prediction: Deccan Chargers vs Royal Challengers Bangalore


Working with a somewhat expanded model of prediction we came to the following conclusion about the probable outcome of the Final Match of IPL 2 to be played between Deccan and Bangalore in a few hours

Deccan seems to have an upper hand looking at the cards drawn for various aspects of the game except bowling. Latter seem less certain probably indicating medium to high target –over 170.Deccan batting may see fluctuating fortune.

However Cards for Bangalore are not uniformly bad . Banglore if they are chasing a total may see one of their promising batsman (today) throw away wicket at critical juncture.

Considering the close matched cards; for reconfirmation we turned towards a quick astrological approach further indicating Deccan’s team have an advantage today

IPl cricket predictions- Semifinal 2

Semi Final 2 : Chennai vs Bangalore

 

 

It may be another low scoring match. Bangalore may pull themselves out of crisis of sorts to win this match.Chennai may recover from early losses but possibly not enough to win.

 

 

Semi Final IPL cricket prediction

Ist Semifinal: Delhi Daredevils vs Deccan Chargers- May 22, 2009

A detailed Tarot card based examination was done to determine which team will win the semi final today.

It seems like a relatively low scoring match with team(s) playing below their potential.

Cards indicate that bowling of both teams will be good with early losses for both.

Overall while a tie or match that will be full of suspense till the last bowl is great possibility, on balance Delhi likely to emerge winner. deccan morelikely to loose batting second.

Also separate cards drawn for possible finalists seem to indicate Final will be between Delhi and Chennai

IPl cricket predictions- Semifinals & Final

Prediction for one or more of the above matches may be posted

 

 

All stock market  predictions will be posted on www.ckal.in also until further notice

Review: Profits from US stock market prediction for the week May 18-22

6 put  options of dow and nasdaq ( in total 12) were purchased based on weekly prediction of correction before/by thursday spread over 3 buying  levels.   As seen in chart ( ignore Friday chart) on wednesday while these were marginally profitable , by thursday( with trading still on today but no intra day prediction) the position on 12 lots is heavily profitable in the approximate range of  $3000 to $ 5000 ( this range is given because on monday while open values were flat for a infitesmal second before indices shot up over 100 points/ 20 points)nasdaq).        As posted on May 18     US stock market prediction -May 18-22 US market may see a mixed a pattern this week with significant correction by mid week ( before thursday closing)- end of week may see a bounceback. Buy 2 dow and nasdaq puts each on flat or positive opening today and add up to 6 puts of each for every 70 point ( 15 point for nasdaq) rise in dow 30 index till tuesday.. ( This may become profitable even today-see intra day prediction above to be posted soon) disclaimer: all risk to be borne by trader for using these predictions

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Bollywood news, movie reviews, film trailers and more! Click here.

IPL cricket prediction may 21

IPL cricket predictions may not be posted for today's matches but pls visit www.ckal.in to confirm.

 

 

IF YOU ARE UNABLE TO SEE THIS BLOGs www.ckal.in  OR WWW.KAL.IN  USE THIS METHOD

 

1. TYPE www.google.com/gwt/n in the browser

2. type site address ( store the addresses to avoid retyping )

3. Now you can see all the latest posts on the desktop as well as on the mobile internet using this method-no time download problem

The New Govt Must act tough with the High and Mighty Corrupt

Why the new government must go whole hog at corrupt in high places-starting with politicians

 

1. Today an article appears in  Times of India exhorting the New Government to keep out  tainted and corrupt politicians. It is difficult to understand why historically governments have not taken tough or tougher measures against misuse of power. Now winds is blowing in the right direction to take measures against such people in power or access to power. Here are the reasons why it is best to act now

 

• People's  refrain everywhere when discussing politics is about Development and Corruption. In recent times we have seen how people reward politicians genuinely trying for development ( though there are some aberrations). Anti corruption  measures (including criminals) against the mighty "Untouchables" can be a mighy  image booster with real effects that will accumulate over time. It is less likely to considered an "eyewash' or gimmick when taken up a "clean govt", more effective when taken at start of election cycle, when taken up without coercion from outside such as judiciary or opposition. In recent times perhaps only Mayawati( against some criminal MPs minister)  and BJD govt in Orissa took tough measures. ( did it dent their image because of such measures ?).
• Many of us are accustomed to accepting and thinking certain process must go through a time cycle. Whether it is population reduction, personal growth or development,. There are examples across the world- of nations, people and organizations - which convincingly strike and destroy these long accepted "time" theories.
• Corruption with its incarnations can have the following impacts; some are recognized;, others may be not so much. That mere a small percentage of development money reaches its beneficiaries is often  repeated. It also means when read together with examples of local leaders in different part of India that development is not as capital expensive/resource intensive as is often thought. Corruption also has a serious potential implication that may cut across the normal zone of influence of a leader"- security. Corruption can be a serious drawback to entrepreneurial spirit ; to creation of trust and team work; to focusing  of energy in right direction.
• Anti corruption seems to be a high return low cost investment both politically and economically. So why successive governments do not act tough to boost their image and their election prospects?
• Of course corruption has seeped in the segments of society, some of which  may be difficult to trace and therefore dislodge.
• Perhaps Media has not fully utilized its potential in this direction. This may be best done by acting together; creating new bench marks  for people in power  and creating internal competition. There cannot be a more powerful countervailing institution than media ( if it does not loose its independence to corporate shareholders and HNIs investors )
• We may soon see some entrepreneur making Anti Corruption a highly profitable and widely participative activity. It should not be hard.

Predictions

No stock market predictions will be posted for rest of this week . However IPL cricket predictions and other predictions may be posted(see  www.ckal.in)

Review: Trade no 31: Intra dayUS Stock market prediction May 20

Prediction as posted yesterday (chart above) : No trade was executed

 

 

Dow index up 64 points at start of trade. Buy 1 call option if dow  comes down to 15 and second if dow is down -40 in next 90 mts. dow  index likley to hit higher( or highest?) value between 1-2 pm

a fair amt of volatility/correction  may be seen in late afternoon but a positive close is likely.

 

Index may be shorted in late after noon

Review : Intra day Indian Stock market prediction May 20

 

 

Prediction as posted (see chart)
 

Actual trade may be recommended later. Trade may be executed if there is a positive strong start in first few mts.

 

 

Prediction: Profits can be made on more than one occassion today. Short index on strong start( This may be quick correction). However indices may see close to day's high by mid day. Late and closing session of the day is least certain with possibility of another correction

 

Trade no 31: Intra dayUS Stock market prediction May 20

Dow index up 64 points at start of trade. Buy 1 call option if dow  comes down to 15 and second if dow is down -40 in next 90 mts. dow  index likley to hit higher( or highest?) value between 1-2 pm

a fair amt of volatility/correction  may be seen in late afternoon but a positive close is likely.

 

Index may be shorted in late after noon

Intra day Indian Stock market prediction May 20

Actual trade may be recommended later. Trade may be executed if there is a positive strong start in first few mts.

 

 

Prediction: Profits can be made on more than one occassion today. Short index on strong start( This may be quick correction). However indices may see close to day's high by mid day. Late and closing session of the day is least certain with possibility of another correction

 

Re: Intra dayUS Stock market prediction May 19

See the chart for dow 30 and prediction posted. Due to indication of choppy trade no trade was recommended

 

 

US market to open in another 3 hours. Initial indications from business news indicate positive start.

 

However cards indicate possibility of making profits with both shorts and call options inthat order- amidst a choppy market.

 

Hence short on strong positive opening.

 

Specific  trade may be given after observing initial trading pattern.

 

Note: IT MAY BE TOO CHOPPY TO TRADE TODAY

Alternate ways to read the blogs

we have noticed blogs ww.kal.in and www.ckal.in are not visible atthe moment. However there are two ways to read the lastest postings

 

1. Go to www.google.com/gwt/n  and type blog/site address( this will work both for PC and mobile internet)

 

2. Click the "mobile version" on sidebar and store the feed address( only for mobile unless feed address is stored inthe desktop)
 

Intra dayUS Stock market prediction May 19

US market to open in another 3 hours. Initial indications from business news indicate positive start.

 

However cards indicate possibility of making profits with both shorts and call options inthat order- amidst a choppy market.

 

Hence short on strong positive opening.

 

Specific  trade may be given after observing initial trading pattern.

 

Note: IT MAY BE TOO CHOPPY TO TRADE TODAY

Intra day Prediction for US market -May 18

dow up 105 points and nasdaq up over 18 points. Short dow ( buy 2 Puts if dow hits 180 points) exit at 210( U S market may go up much higher by mid day before giving up some of those gains temporarily)

Note: because of higher risk today this is not being given as a regular series

US stock market prediction for the week -May 18-22,2009

US stock market prediction -May 18-22

US market may see a mixed a pattern this week with significant correction by mid week ( before thursday closing)- end of week may see a bounceback.

Buy 2 dow and nasdaq puts each on flat or positive opening today and add up to 6 puts of each for every 70 point ( 15 point for nasdaq) rise in dow 30 index till tuesday. ( This may become profitable even today-see intra day prediction above to be posted soon)



disclaimer: all risk to be brone by trader for using these predictions

Predictions

One or more of the following predictions will be posted today

 

1. US market Intra day

2. US market this week( may 18-22)( 1 and 2 on www.kal.in )

3. IPL cricket- KKR vs CSK ( www.ckal.in )

 

scroll down below or search in box for May prediction( or see under May postings for May 2009 month prediction)

Revisiting old prediction: date of Swearing-in?

Given below is prediction about the probable date of swearing in of new govt posted in March-april .see link to read original prediction.key parts highlighted.

See the planetary chart for may 20, 2009. also see details of India's birth chart and other details.(not shown here)

for several reasons it seems that swearing in could take place on may 20,2009( any guess when party -to -be in power will choose time of swearing??-unfortunately early morning and late evening time though best may not be available)

Also note that Jupiter would have just traversed to sign of aquarius( indias tenth house)-

Thus given election results date(16 may) and expected swearing in date, it may not be a too much of a divided vote or collusion could take place in surprisingly fast time

Loss booked: Intra day Indian Stock market prediction May 15-trade 30

Please see the chart above. 10 puts purchased at rs 124. Profit threshold level was not crossed during the day .hence loss booked at closing premium of Rs 118.15(+2 for brokerage per lot=Rs 100 per lot )= approx 3925

 

 

Market yet to open.Nifty closed yesterday at 3593.45 with Nifty 3600 May Put at Rs 150.45.

 

Buy 10 Puts if premium on above put is above Rs 165( edited rs 124) ( unless it opens even higher).More Pts may be added

 

Market may follow the indecisive pattern of yesterday with possibly larger range of movement with more than opportunity to make profit from intra day trade

 

IPL prediction

IPL prediction may be posted on www.ckal.in for certain matches

edited version Role of Other Ministries in Solar Power Unit

To the previous version the follwing thoughts are added and comments invited

1. Given the need for transporting the solar panels equipments to remote areas, what role can be assigned to Transport ministry in the Cell

 

2. Given the vast network and need for communication it would be gullible to leave out IT ministry from the scope of work for such a Unit- indeed a Standing Committee may need need to be created for the same- which works at direction of a panel including  foreign experts/agencies

 

From the previou version

 

Institutional requirements: Creating policy and institutional environment for Solar power industry

 

Falling oil price is a mirage and a temporary phenomenon. In future both rising prices and climate/environment concerns will make it imperative to promote solar power in a big way as that is India' s natural advantage.Also falling costs and minitiaruization of solar components( higher kw/per unit area of panels/cell) will make solar power increasingly attractive. So who will be next Tulsi Tanti of Solar industry.(may be Tulsi Tanti himself as he set eyes on solar after his phenomenal success .)

 

The transition from TEXTILE industry to wind industry must be replicable to solar.

 

For this a Special Cell must be created comprising the following ministries with clear cut responsibilities for their solar cell.

 

1. Renewable energy ministry( for obvious reasons, tech expertise)
2. Commerce Ministry ( for fast tracking proper incentive policies for import/export of components
3. External affair ministry may play a n important role in raising contacts/funds(indirectly)
4. Ofcourse Cell for them may  have to approved by a parliamentary process(perhaps?)
5. Links with external agencies like UN to support research and development

 

error: Intra day Indian Stock market prediction May 15-trade 30

Apologies for erroneous posting. shorting was recommended on a higher positive opeing. Hence Nifty Put premium could not be higher( it should be lower ) than yesterday.

 

 

It is recommended in line with our prediction to Buy(short) 10 puts at current premium of Rs 124 and another 10 at limit price of Rs 105 if available in next  70 mts.Protect profits on a gain of Rs 12 per lot with traling stop loss of Rs 4

 

 

Intra day Indian Stock market prediction May 15-trade 30

Market yet to open.Nifty closed yesterday at 3593.45 with Nifty 3600 May Put at Rs 150.45.

 

Buy 10 Puts if premium on above put is above Rs 165( unless it opens even higher).More Pts may be added

 

Market may follow the indecisive pattern of yesterday with possibly larger range of movement with more than opportunity to make profit from intra day trade

 

Predictions

No prediction will be posted today on either of our two blogs including for IPL matches

Re: US Stock market prediction-Prediction based Trade no 30 US market May 13, 30 profitable prediction based trade series

as seen from the chart there was no real bounceback leading to total loss of $160 on four lots

 

 

After 3 hours and 15 mts of trade dow down 149 points Nasdaq down 35 points with day';s low so far at 1675 ( now at 1680)

 

Buy 4 nasdaq call options at -40,42, 44 and 46 and hold till last 60-70 mts of trade today unless a profit of 10 points per lot is created with trailing stop loss of 3 points. Last 60-70 mts could see market making gains/bounceback ( from  possibly even lower levels than now)

 

 

 

 

 

IPl cricket  prediction for today's match at www.ckal.in

US Stock market prediction-Prediction based Trade no 30 US market May 13, 30 profitable prediction based trade series

 

After 3 hours and 15 mts of trade dow down 149 points Nasdaq down 35 points with day';s low so far at 1675 ( now at 1680)

 

Buy 4 nasdaq call options at -40,42, 44 and 46 and hold till last 60-70 mts of trade today unless a profit of 10 points per lot is created with trailing stop loss of 3 points. Last 60-70 mts could see market making gains/bounceback ( from  possibly even lower levels than now)

 

 

 

 

 

IPl cricket  prediction for today's match at www.ckal.in

Loss booked: US Stock market prediction-Prediction based Trade no 29 US market May 12, 30 profitable prediction based trade series

Losses are booked at closing values since no threshold level was set $140 for two options.

 

However straddle option( both call and put options) would have been immensely profitable as seen from chart,especially last two hours of trade approx

 

US market to open in next 1- 1/2 hours

 

 

This trade should be considered only after observing initial market trends

 

Buy nasdaq call options if US market opens negative. ( buy at opening values plus-5, second option at opening value of nasdaq plus -10)

 

Apart from this, sharp movement in dow possible in last 2 hours of trade. A straddle consisting of call and put option may be purchased and exit that option which becomes profitable first.(pls note that our system of calculating profits will not be applicable in this case for obvious reasons)
 

 

IPl cricket  prediction for today's match at www.ckal.in

Special Unit for expanding solar power in India

Institutional requirements: Creating policy and institutional environment for Solar power industry

 

Falling oil price is a mirage and a temporary phenomenon. In future both rising prices and climate/environment concerns will make it imperative to promote solar power in a big way as that is India' s natural advantage.Also falling costs and minitiaruization of solar components( higher kw/per unit area of panels/cell) will make solar power increasingly attractive. So who will be next Tulsi Tanti of Solar industry.(may be Tulsi Tanti himself as he set eyes on solar after his phenomenal success .)

 

The transition from TEXTILE industry to wind industry must be replicable to solar.

 

For this a Special Cell must be created comprising the following ministries with clear cut responsibilities for their solar cell.

 

1. Renewable energy ministry( for obvious reasons, tech expertise)
2. Commerce Ministry ( for fast tracking proper incentive policies for import/export of components
3. External affair ministry may play a n important role in raising contacts/funds(indirectly)
4. Ofcourse Cell for them may  have to approved by a parliamentary process(perhaps?)
5. Links with external agencies like UN to support research and development

 

More later

 

 

update: US Stock market prediction-Prediction based Trade no 29 US market May 12, 30 profitable prediction based trade series

Dow now at+ 45

nasdaq at +10 after 7-8 mt of trade

 

buy 1 nasdaq call option now and second one if nasdaq hits -3 in next 3 hours

 

 

US Stock market prediction-Prediction based Trade no 29 US market May 12, 30 profitable prediction based trade series

US market to open in next 1- 1/2 hours

 

 

This trade should be considered only after observing initial market trends

 

Buy nasdaq call options if US market opens negative. ( buy at opening values plus-5, second option at opening value of nasdaq plus -10)

 

Apart from this, sharp movement in dow possible in last 2 hours of trade. A straddle consisting of call and put option may be purchased and exit that option which becomes profitable first.(pls note that our system of calculating profits will not be applicable in this case for obvious reasons)
 

 

IPl cricket  prediction for today's match at www.ckal.in

Review: US Stock market prediction-Prediction based Trade no 28 US market May 11,, 30 profitable prediction based trade series

US market did not cross the profit  threshold level nor did it rise in last 90-100 mts.

 

Loss for the only lot purchased is $59 at closing levels of do w index

 

 

US market in negative

 

dow down 132 points and nasdaq down 30 points.after 30 mt of trade. market may recover fromhere

 

buy 1 call option now and 2nd one at -170 and third one at -200 before  2pm US time.Best bounceback may be in last 90-100 mts( today trade thoygh numbered involves higher than normal risk

 

IPl cricket  prediction for today's match at www.ckal.in

Profit booking levels: US Stock market prediction-Prediction based Trade no 28 US market May 11,, 30 profitable prediction based trade series

The profit booking levels was missing in the last post. Profit should be protected after a gain of 50 points per lot with trailing stop loss of  20 points

 

 

 

US market in negative

 

dow down 132 points and nasdaq down 30 points.after 30 mt of trade. market may recover fromhere

 

buy 1 call option now and 2nd one at -170 and third one at -200 before  2pm US time.Best bounceback may be in last 90-100 mts( today trade thoygh numbered involves higher than normal risk

 

IPl cricket  prediction for today's match at www.ckal.in

US Stock market prediction-Prediction based Trade no 28 US market May 11,, 30 profitable prediction based trade series

US market in negative

 

dow down 132 points and nasdaq down 30 points.after 30 mt of trade. market may recover fromhere

 

buy 1 call option now and 2nd one at -170 and third one at -200 before  2pm US time.Best bounceback may be in last 90-100 mts( today trade thoygh numbered involves higher than normal risk

 

IPl cricket  prediction for today's match at www.ckal.in

Re: Predictions this week

stock market predictions can be requested from next week onwards ( only large traders/firm etc)

 

cal 09312039121, 09971355662

 

 

 

quiz: pls let me know what is the best cure for fast spreading warts and moles

Predictions this week

please note that due to Google's scheduled maintenance programme of  the Blogger, no predictions will be posted today.

 

 

Hence only intra day predictions will be posted in remainder of this week

Predictions in the coming week May 11-15

Unfortunately no IPL prediction could be put up today . However next week a number of predictions may  be posted.

 

These include

 

1. weekly and intra day currency predictions

2. Commodity/bullion predictions(weekly or intra day- new test series)

3. weekly world market predictions

4 IPL predictions on www.ckal.in

5. Future of IPL teams( on www.ckal.in starting soon subject to feedback)

 

Review: US market prediction May 8

 

As can be seen from the chart, first trade of shorting(Puts) would have been extremely profitable-$190 per lot approx.(see prediction below)

 

However this prediction was classified as high risk due to uncertainity of  timing of market pattern(intra day) .

 

 

IPL cricket  for May 9 may be posted later in the day

 

 

 

risk this is not from our regular prediction series

 

 

Dow up 135 points after 25-30 mts of trade. Market may see a correction  and then move up again. Buy 1 dow put now and another if dow hits 180 in next 80 mts.protect profit as in last trade

 

If profitable call options can be purchased towards end of the day( last 60-70 mts)

 

Coming next : IPL cricket prediction on www.ckal.in

US market prediction May 8

Due to high risk this is not from our regular prediction series

 

 

Dow up 135 points after 25-30 mts of trade. Market may see a correction  and then move up again. Buy 1 dow put now and another if dow hits 180 in next 80 mts.protect profit as in last trade

 

If profitable call options can be purchased towards end of the day( last 60-70 mts)

 

Coming next : IPL cricket prediction on www.ckal.in

How profits are calculated?

Profits are calculated differently for Indian and US markets, primarily because in latter reliable real time option prices are not available.Hence profits are taken as profits on $5 mini dow options or $10 mini nasdaq with 50% of change in dow or nasdaq being used (times $5 0r $10) to indicate profits. In Indian case since option premium values are easily available on NSE and brokerage sites, profit calculation is straightforward.Further brokerage costs is built in previous while Indian case, Rs 2 is charged per brokerage for intra day and Rs 4 if trade is beyond one day.

Edited: ( Further in first case while actual trading profist may be and wil be different from calculated here, Indian case they will/should correspond exactly)

Info: Site stats/path shows there is an unusual site visit at www.ckal.in possibly involving change of site layout .Pls send an email at wwwkal.in@yahoo.co.in if there is any unusual posting or change on any of our blogs
NO Indian market Prediction will be available tommorrow. However prediction for US market may be given

Predictions

No predictions will be posted tdoay

profit booked: Indian Stock market prediction-Prediction based Trade no 27 May 6, 30 profitable prediction based trade series

.Market slid aroudn 2 pm . 5 Puts purchased at Rs 110 around mid day  .However next 5 Puts though available at 103( days' best value by coincidence) was just outside the time limit. hence profit on 5 lots after brokerage is Rs 4500 approx

Indian Stock market prediction-Prediction based Trade no 27 May 6, 30 profitable prediction based trade series

Nifty at day's high with nifty 3500 put premium at days lowest.

buy 5 nifty put at Rs 110 and another 5 at Rs 103 if available in next 60 mts. protect profit after average gain of Rs 10 with trailing stop loss of rs 4.

market may continue to show mixed pattern as in morning

Intra day sensex/nifty Prediction for May 6

Markets may show mixed pattern with a downward bias.

It maybe best to short the index around mid-day if markets are trading in green or bounced back from any morning corrections

exact shorting instructions may be given only after observing markets trends today

see below for May Prediction for Indian market

see. http://www.ckal.in/ for IPL predictions for possible winners and today's match

IF THIS BLOG OR http://www.ckal.in/ TAKES TIME TO DOWNLAOD ON THE PC, TYPE www.google.com/gwt/n AND THEN TYPE SITE ADDRESS(STORE THE ADDRESS) . YOU CAN THEN READ THE SITE QUICKLY. THIS IS ESPECIALLY GOOD IF YOU ARE USING MOBILE INTERNET

Further thoughts/predictions on Indian markets in May and world markets

Please read May 2009 prediction on www.kal.in

Planetary transits indicate that after recent run up in markets certain markets; India, HongKong, Canada, USA, Europe may be prone to bearish attacks -those on lookout for opportunities in a fragile market(edited) . Hence those with investible funds one may maintain neutral stance neither investing nor disinvesting too much at this point( subject to risk appetite)


disclaimer: Invest according to risk bearing capacity and gut feeling and information. This is an untested method of prediction

Indian stock market-sensex/nifty Prediction for May 2009

On May 4 ,sensex closed at 12134 up 731 points.

Cards indciate that market may do well in the ongoing phase while a severe correction is due in the mid phase (edited- 10-20 may approx) of may ( corresponding to pre and post election results dates???) .

However amidst volatility indices like sensex will move up thereafter. Overall net gain is possible even counting from yesterday closing but episodes of severe volatility being a distinct possibility.
NO intra day prediction to be posted today

ON IPL predictions see http://www.ckal.in/

Review: May 4 Intra day prediction

see the prediction given this morning much before the market opened and categorized as High Risk Prediction(chart above)

 

Apart from the much stronger opening than anticiapted , mid day correction also did not occur

 

 

Intra day prediction for Indian stock market monday may 4

Because of high risk of today's predictions, it is not being given as a regular 30 trade prediction series.

IF MARKET/SENSEX IS OVER 130-150 POINTS IN FIRST 100 MTS OF TRADE, SHORT THE INDEX AS MARKET MAY SEE CORRECTION BEFORE BOUNCING BACK TOWARDS END OF THE DAY

IPL cricket predictions will be posted on www.ckal.in later in the day. May Month prediction may be posted tonight

Review: April 2009 Predictions for Indian stock market

As seen from the chart index has seen substantial gains over march closing( such vast gains were not predicted). Also correctly predicted were mid month and end of month corrections

next possible post on this blog: Indian market in May 2009, Intra day may 4

see http://www.ckal.in/ for IPL cricket predictions

April 2009 as Predicted for Indian Stock markets( below)

1. Main index like sensex like to make net gains over march closing(9708-march 31)

2. sharpest correction in the month will be in mid phase of the month ( earlier part of 10-20 april)

3. Last 5-7 days to be very volatile

4. Call option can be purchased for next few days. Short index once nifty rises 100-150 points

usual disclaimer applies

Review: April 2009 Predictions for US stock market

As seen from the dow 30 index chart for month of april, dow 30 has seen a good monthly gain with no particular trend(original prediction below)

As predicted for US market for April 2009

 

 

Based on Tarot cards US indices like dow 30 likely to see net gains over March 31 closing -(7609)

 

However details are not apparent since whole month  will be marked by corrections and bounceback-middle and end part of month more likely to see corrections

 

 

Review: weekly currency Predictions April 27-May 1

Prediction made for last week ( april 27-may 1)

1. $ depreciated against Yen initially and then appreciated overall- from 97 to about 99 yens per dollar -CORRECT
2.$ appreciated against euro initially then depreciated overall -from E0.76 to a dollar to E0.75 per dollar( edited for mistake)-CORRECT
3. Pound sterling appreciated as opposed to prediction of $appreciation - WRONG
4. Hong kong dollar appreciated-CORRECT




next possible post on this blog: review of monthly prediction for US and Indian market

Review: Prediction of Japanese and European Stock Market April 27-May 1

1. chart 1: Japanese market was closed on wednesday. However as per prediction buying call option on Mon-Tue would have become profitable towards end of week.However no strong correction took place on friday

 

2. Chart 2-FTSE: buying on monday correction would have become profitable by mid week( definitionof mid week is hazy?). However such a buying would havebeen most profitable towards end of week( that was not predicted)

 

next post: review of weekly currency prediction

 

see www.ckal.in for regular IPL predictions
 

Prediction of Japanese/Nikkie225 Index

 

Accumulate Call options on the index till tuesday upon any intra day correction( lower index values than last week's closing value)  which is likley to become to profitable as week progresses but friday may see strong correction

 

 

European/FTSE 100 Index: No particular trend is visible.However correction on Monday may be buying opportunity which will become profitable before/by mid week. At the same time strong opening on Monday can be used to short index whioch may become profitable by midweek 

predictions for the coming week may 4-8

Some predictions including for IPL will be posted this week.

 

However due to extremely erratic power and internet connections now in force it is difficult to predict if any can be posted in time or at all

IPL predictions

IPL prediction just posted on www.ckal.in

IPL cricket predictions -may 1

IPl cricket predictions will be posted soon on www.ckal.in for May 1.

we will be posting predictions on likely winner, semi-finalists, finalists etc in next few days

Review: US Stock market prediction-Prediction based Trade no 26US market April 29, 30 profitable prediction based trade series

1. No trade was carried out due to price limits set though markets surged up from even those levels in afternoon